ES Blog April 11, 2025

Hi everyone I hope you had a great trading day today. Had a sharp spike up on both markets during the overnight session. Both the ES and NQ has a large range that's been forming over the last several days. From the lows of the range price blasted through the upMM, showing the bulls are in control, which finally took price out of this multiday range. After a range gets a breakout, it's very common to see a 2 legged retest of the high for a long entry, but the bulls were so strong that there weren't enough sellers to give us a good breakout pullback.

Hi everybody I hope you've had a great trading day. Today was a very bearish day. Basically just looking for short on the way down. For both markets, price was forming a sharp break. Even though price was breaking a wide uptrend, we still have to stick with what price is doing in the moment. A large uptrend break from a multiday trend can last multiple days itself, so we have to use the selling pressure from the break to our advantage, until price starts clear making a new high attempt.

Price was in a clear downtrend in the previous day. In the overnight session price broke the downtrend, made a couple attempts at a new low, which failed making a much larger 2 legged break. Price made a few more new low attempts but ended up breaking the OVH and taking off.

Starting off with the ES, price had this major down-measured move in play when today started. Price has been bearish over the last few days, as we can tell by the clear wider downtrend price is in. After price rushed through the redMM shown below, that's when we accept that the bears are in control, and we need to look to get short and start looking for a wider MM. That's when the larger blue MM comes into play.

Above is the 1000 tick chart for the NQ. 3 days ago price was in that large uptrend. Price got a break, then 2 very clear and perfectly measured attempts at a new high. Price failed to make a new high, holding on the MM and continuing lower, making the wider downtrend more clear.

In today's overnight session, price made a sharp spike down, then for the rest of today, made 2 legs to a new low, where it just reached the downMM level a few minutes ago. Price is likely to reverse here, but due to the large multiday downtrend, I'm not buying right on the MM here, and will wait for confirmation, (although I'm done trading for today).