ES April 7th, 2025 Blog

Price was in a clear downtrend in the previous day. In the overnight session price broke the downtrend, made a couple attempts at a new low, which failed making a much larger 2 legged break. Price made a few more new low attempts but ended up breaking the OVH and taking off.

Above is the NQ 250 tick, price broke the range from last Thursday, retested it and continued lower in the overnight session. Price formed a downtrend, which then broke and made 2 attempts at a new low, which led to a reversal/fade attempt, which had a strong failure, leading to a full on downtrend day. When price broke the OVL, (after the initial 2 breaks) and really took off lower, this would be a good spot for a F2EL for a short entry. Price was extremely bearish at this point, but it was so bearish it couldn't offer us a couple legs back to get in on the move.

Hi everyone I hope you've had a great trading day. Today all my focus was on the NQ 250 tick.

You can see the larger price action levels forming. Notice at the beginning with the downtrend. We got a very small 2 legged break, smaller than the one marked. We got a perfect MM reaction/reversal, but price was only forming a larger break between the bigger pic legs that were pushing up. That took us to the marked "2 legged break" on the chart. After a couple attempts down, price reversed, and ultimately made an even larger 2 legged break from the original downtrend. We can see that with the red arrows.

Hi everyone I hope you had a great trading day today. Had a sharp spike up on both markets during the overnight session. Both the ES and NQ has a large range that's been forming over the last several days. From the lows of the range price blasted through the upMM, showing the bulls are in control, which finally took price out of this multiday range. After a range gets a breakout, it's very common to see a 2 legged retest of the high for a long entry, but the bulls were so strong that there weren't enough sellers to give us a good breakout pullback.

Above is the 1000 tick chart for the NQ. 3 days ago price was in that large uptrend. Price got a break, then 2 very clear and perfectly measured attempts at a new high. Price failed to make a new high, holding on the MM and continuing lower, making the wider downtrend more clear.

In today's overnight session, price made a sharp spike down, then for the rest of today, made 2 legs to a new low, where it just reached the downMM level a few minutes ago. Price is likely to reverse here, but due to the large multiday downtrend, I'm not buying right on the MM here, and will wait for confirmation, (although I'm done trading for today).